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Poe, Binay top presidential contenders in ABS-CBN-commissioned survey

Senator Grace Poe and Vice President Jejomar Binay remain the top contenders in the May, 2016 presidential race, based on an ABS-CBN-commissioned Pulse Asia survey results released yesterday.

The Pulse Asia survey conducted last February 16-27 with 5,200 registered voters as respondents, found Poe (26 percent) and Binay (24 percent) statistically tied for first place.

The survey also asked the respondents for their second choice presidential preference. Poe led the second-choice candidates.

This ABS-CBN-commissioned survey was conducted separately from a Pulse Asia non-commissioned survey with 1,800 respondents last February 15-20. The results of this survey, released last Friday, March 4, also found Poe (26 percent) and Binay (25 percent) statistically tied for the top spot.

Both surveys were conducted before the Supreme Court decision allowing Poe to run for president.

Davao City Mayor Rodrigo R. Duterte (22 percent) was next after Poe and Binay in the ABS-CBN-commissioned survey. Former Interior and Local Government Secretary Mar Roxas (19 percent) was next.

Sen. Miriam Defensor Santiago got three percent.

In Metro Manila, Poe had 30 percent of the survey respondents;  Binay, 26 percent; and Duterte, 25 percent.

In the rest of Luzon, Poe had 32 percent; Binay, 30 percent.

In Visayas, Roxas was the first choice with 33 percent.

In Mindanao, Duterte was the top choice with 47 percent.

Among the economic classes, upper-to-middle Class ABC gave Duterte 27 percent, Poe and Binay both 21 percent, and Roxas 17 percent.

Among the Class D or “masa,” Poe and Binay had 26 percent and 24 percent, respectively.

In poorest Class E, Poe had 27 percent, Binay 23 percent, and Roxas 23 percent.

In the event that their original choice for president does not continue his/her candidacy, 29 percent of registered voters would instead vote for Poe. In second place was Binay, 22 percent; followed by Roxas, 15 percent; Duterte, 12 percent; and  Defensor-Santiago, eight percent.

Pulse Asia said that in the event that Poe does not pursue her presidential bid, Binay would gain the most as 32 percent of her original voters would instead vote for him.

Similarly, a sizeable plurality of Binay’s voters (37 percent) would shift their support to Poe in case he ends up not running in May, 2016.

Many of those whose first choice for president is either Duterte (31 percent) or Roxas (41 percent) identified Poe as their second choice for president.

FOR VICE PRESIDENT

In the race for vice president, Senators Ferdinand Marcos Jr. and Francis Escudero shared the lead, both getting 26 percent.

Camarines Sur Rep. Leni Robredo was next with 18 percent, followed by Sen. Alan Peter Cayetano with 13 percent, Sen. Gregorio Honasan II with six percent, and Sen. Antonio Trillanes IV with five percent

In Metro Manila, Marcos led with 34 percent, followed by Escudero with 29 percent.

In the rest of Luzon, Marcos had 33 percent and Escudero 29 percent.

In the Visayas, Robredo led by 30 percent, followed by Escudero, 25 percent.

In Mindanao, Cayetano had 24 percent, Escudero 21 percent, and Robredo 19 percent.

Among the classes, Escudero and Robredo led in Class E, with 26 and 22 percent, respectively.

If their original candidate for vice president backed out of the election, 12 percent would vote for Robredo; eight percent for Honasan; and eight percent for Trillanes.

FOR SENATORS

Of the 56 senatorial candidates running in May, 2016, 14 have a statistical chance of winning, with Sen. Vicente Sotto III (50.6 percent) in first place.

Next to Sotto are former Sen. Francis Pangilinan (47.2 percent, 2nd-4th); Senate President Franklin Drilon (46.5 percent, 2nd-4th); former Sen. Panfilo Lacson (44.9 percent, 2nd-5th); Senator Ralph Recto (43.5 percent, 4th-5th); former Sen. Juan Miguel Zubiri (39.4 percent, 6th place); Sen. Sergio Osmeña III (36.3 percent, 7th-9th); Secretary Leila de Lima (35.1 percent, 7th-11th); former Sen. Richard Gordon (34.9 percent, 7th-11th); Sarangani Rep. Manny Pacquiao (33.2 percent, 8th-11th); former Akbayan Party-list Rep. Risa Hontiveros (33.1 percent, 8th-11th); former Technical Education and Skills Development Authority Director-General Joel Villanueva (28.5 percent, 12th-14th); Sen. Teofisto Guingona III (28.2 percent, 12th-14th places); and Valenzuela City Rep. Sherwin Gatchalian (26.1 percent, 12th-14th).

  • Gabriela Silang

    ayoko sa danding Poepet..ipagbibili nya lang sa mayayaman ang bansa or kung hindi man, dun kay uncle sam.